First, Preval and the INITE Party will seek to put a partisan judge in charge allowing them to continue business as usual and steal the remaining legislative seats.
Second, the democratic opposition is comprised of two groups who will seek different outcomes. The first group is made up of the presidential run-off candidates and civil society organizations, which want the run off election to proceed, but have called for the annulment for the legislative elections. The second group is made up of the 12 presidential candidates who denounced the elections after the first round, and the democratic parties that boycotted the elections. This second group will seek to have an impartial judge as the provisional president and to have the November 28 elections annulled. Both groups agree upon the need to resolve several issues that led to the electoral irregularities, including reorganizing the partisan CEP, the appointment of impartial poll workers and cleaning the voter registration lists.
And third, the supporters of former President Jean Bertrand Aristide who want to undermine the whole process and create chaos in order to provide an opening for Aristide’s return. This Aristide camp will likely resort to violence. In 2004, this is the group that launched Operation Baghdad I & II (see: http://www.rnddh.org/article.php3?id_article=300 ) that resulted in 1,941 people murdered, and the kidnapping of more than 800 innocent citizens – among them 109 police officers. For the past two weeks, operatives of this group have murdered 12 policemen. Haitians are worried that this is the beginning Aristide’s Operation Bagdad III.